What is DARPA’s Theory of Mind?

DARPA’s Theory of Mind program is an initiative designed to provide national security decision-makers with advanced algorithmic models, simulations, and human
expertise to model, simulate, and anticipate the intentions and behaviors of adversaries.

Applications of the Theory of Mind

DARPA’s Role in the COVID-19 Pandemic

DARPA’s AI-powered behavioral analytics were utilized during the pandemic to monitor public sentiment, tailor
messaging, and shape policy decisions.

Modern Warfare Applications

Operation Spiderweb (Ukraine)

DARPA’s behavioral analytics were utilized in this covert operation targeting Russia’s strategic bomber fleet, employing deep adversary modeling and
psychological insights to avoid nuclear escalation risks.

Operation Red Wedding (Iran)

A complex military operation that leveraged detailed adversary modeling to anticipate and mitigate potential escalations, demonstrating the program’s strategic
capabilities in modern warfare.

Additional Applications

COVID-19 Civilian Response

DARPA’s Maven system was utilized in the U.S. and by partners to centralize data platforms for COVID-related operations, including demographic tracking and
public health messaging.